April 2024: NAR Settlement Explanation

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  Y'all, the real industry is evolving and there has been a lot of confusing real estate news regarding a $418M Settlement by the National Association of Realtors.  There's been a lot of buzz and a fair share of confusion about the recent developments.   Understanding the Settlement The  National Association of Realtors (NAR) has recently settled  an alleged price-fixing lawsuit that’s been a significant talking point across our industry. While the court’s final approval is pending, it’s crucial to  grasp the potential implications  anticipated to take effect by mid-July 2024.    As soon as I have additional -- and accurate -- information as to how this will affect you as a Buyer or as a Seller, I will send out a separate email. But as of now, this is the best information that I can find to summarize all the "hoopla". ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ This might sound exciting and like a potential game-changer for you as a home selle
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Expert Home Price Forecasts for 2024 Revised Up

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Expert Home Price Forecasts for 2024 Revised Up




Over the past few months, experts have revised their 2024 home price forecasts based on the latest data and market signals, and they’re even more confident prices will rise, not fall.

So, let’s see exactly how experts’ thinking has shifted – and what’s caused the change.

2024 Home Price Forecasts: Then and Now

The chart below shows what seven expert organizations think will happen to home prices in 2024. It compares their first 2024 home price forecasts (made at the end of 2023) with their newest projections:

 a blue and white graph with text


The middle column shows that, at first, these experts thought home prices would only go up a little this year. But if you look at the column on the right, you'll see they've all updated their forecasts and now think prices will go up more than they originally thought. And some of the differences are major.

There are two big factors keeping such strong upward pressure on home prices. The first is how few homes are for sale right now. According to Business Insider:

“Low home inventory is a chronic problem in the US. This has generally kept home prices up . . .”

A lack of housing inventory has been pushing prices up for a long time now – and that’s not expected to change dramatically this year. But what has changed a bit is mortgage rates.

Late last year when most housing market experts were calling for home prices to rise only a little bit in 2024, mortgage rates were up and buyer demand was more moderate.

Now that rates have come down from their peak last October, and with further declines expected over the course of the year, buyer demand has picked up. That increase in demand, along with an ongoing lack of inventory, is what’s caused the experts to feel the upward pressure on prices will be stronger than they expected a couple months ago.

A Look Forward To Get Ahead of the Next Forecast Revisions

Real estate experts regularly revise their home price forecasts as the housing market shifts. It’s a normal part of their job that ensures their projections are always up-to-date and factor in the latest changes in the housing market.

That means they’ll continue to revise their projections as the housing market changes, just as they’ve always done. How those forecasts change next is anyone’s guess, but pay attention to mortgage rates.

If they trend down as the year goes on, as they’re expected to do, that could lead to more buyer demand and even higher home price forecasts.

Basically, it’s all about supply and demand. With supply still so limited, anything that causes demand to go up will likely cause prices to go up, too.

Bottom Line

At first, experts believed home prices would only go up a little this year. But now, they've changed their minds and forecast prices will grow even more than they originally thought. Let’s connect so you know what to expect with prices in our area.

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